NATO at a Crossroads: Expansion, Burden-Sharing, and the China Question

The transatlantic alliance faces unprecedented strain as member states debate defense spending commitments, the pace of expansion, and how to address China's growing influence without diluting the alliance's original purpose.

NATO enters 2026 facing internal divisions that would have been unthinkable a decade ago. Burden-sharing disputes, expansion fatigue, and the China question are reshaping alliance priorities.

Defense Spending

The 2% GDP target remains contentious. Eastern flank members argue for higher thresholds while Western European states face domestic pressure to prioritize social spending.

China and NATO

The alliance's pivot to address China-Pacific security concerns creates tension with members who view Russia as the primary threat.